Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.146835 0.167079 0.189524 0.216330 0.247567 0.282932 0.326162
2026-01-11 0.115351 0.142421 0.175384 0.218810 0.274999 0.345909 0.443218
2026-01-18 0.098051 0.128444 0.168087 0.224299 0.303106 0.411404 0.574547
2026-01-25 0.084819 0.116347 0.159750 0.225013 0.322669 0.466672 0.701411
2026-02-01 0.074754 0.106538 0.152311 0.224648 0.339131 0.518671 0.832645
2026-02-08 0.066416 0.097797 0.144775 0.222300 0.351196 0.564774 0.962879
2026-02-15 0.059580 0.090289 0.137864 0.219472 0.361349 0.608576 1.097582
2026-02-22 0.055501 0.086471 0.136072 0.224438 0.384992 0.679228 1.297385
2026-03-01 0.050499 0.080546 0.130046 0.221143 0.393107 0.722479 1.452537
2026-03-08 0.046797 0.076334 0.126334 0.221292 0.407366 0.779646 1.650264
2026-03-15 0.043538 0.072513 0.122818 0.221219 0.420983 0.837680 1.864170
2026-03-22 0.041405 0.070419 0.122094 0.226257 0.445527 0.923105 2.165526
2026-03-29 0.039086 0.067816 0.120250 0.229051 0.466315 1.005497 2.486532
2026-04-05 0.037007 0.065458 0.118622 0.232100 0.488290 1.095533 2.857224
2026-04-12 0.035459 0.063931 0.118410 0.238045 0.517805 1.210177 3.336245
2026-04-19 0.033496 0.061418 0.115969 0.238822 0.535295 1.298227 3.766063
2026-04-26 0.031604 0.058866 0.113177 0.238434 0.549875 1.381831 4.212181
2026-05-03 0.029687 0.056097 0.109657 0.235920 0.558686 1.451578 4.637912
2026-05-10 0.027901 0.053438 0.106112 0.232893 0.565685 1.517840 5.077593
2026-05-17 0.026964 0.052451 0.106053 0.238209 0.595977 1.660893 5.868927
2026-05-24 0.025398 0.050012 0.102578 0.234681 0.601234 1.727651 6.384497
2026-05-31 0.024234 0.048339 0.100659 0.234841 0.617105 1.832845 7.112688
2026-06-07 0.023140 0.046731 0.098738 0.234763 0.632332 1.940031 7.903523